Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Mexico City on August 22, reflecting typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Afternoon convective showers common during the rainy season increase humidity and cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling overnight and keeps lows from dropping further. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds, and the exact timing of any clearing skies, as even modest changes in these variables can shift the daily minimum by 1°C. Historical August data show overnight lows averaging around 13°C with low variance, supporting tight market spreads while highlighting remaining uncertainty ahead of updated regional model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 22 août ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 22 août ?
14°C 35%
15°C 29%
16°C ou plus 28%
12°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
6°C ou moins
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
35%
15°C
29%
16°C ou plus
28%
14°C 35%
15°C 29%
16°C ou plus 28%
12°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
6°C ou moins
$20 Vol.
1%
7°C
$25 Vol.
1%
8°C
$22 Vol.
1%
9°C
$37 Vol.
1%
10°C
$36 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$1 Vol.
35%
15°C
$0 Vol.
29%
16°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Mexico City on August 22, reflecting typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Afternoon convective showers common during the rainy season increase humidity and cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling overnight and keeps lows from dropping further. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds, and the exact timing of any clearing skies, as even modest changes in these variables can shift the daily minimum by 1°C. Historical August data show overnight lows averaging around 13°C with low variance, supporting tight market spreads while highlighting remaining uncertainty ahead of updated regional model runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volume
$141Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Mexico City on August 22, reflecting typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Afternoon convective showers common during the rainy season increase humidity and cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling overnight and keeps lows from dropping further. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds, and the exact timing of any clearing skies, as even modest changes in these variables can shift the daily minimum by 1°C. Historical August data show overnight lows averaging around 13°C with low variance, supporting tight market spreads while highlighting remaining uncertainty ahead of updated regional model runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Mexico City on August 22, reflecting typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Afternoon convective showers common during the rainy season increase humidity and cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling overnight and keeps lows from dropping further. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds, and the exact timing of any clearing skies, as even modest changes in these variables can shift the daily minimum by 1°C. Historical August data show overnight lows averaging around 13°C with low variance, supporting tight market spreads while highlighting remaining uncertainty ahead of updated regional model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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