Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlights warm advection from African and Arabian air masses as the dominant driver for Istanbul's August 23 temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime mixing and potentially capping peaks near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader pricing. Historical August averages around 28 °C provide a baseline, while the absence of strong sea-breeze cooling or precipitation supports the current narrow distribution ahead of updated model runs expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 23 août ?
28°C 36%
27°C 34%
29°C 32%
26°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
21%
27°C
34%
28°C
36%
29°C
32%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
7%
28°C 36%
27°C 34%
29°C 32%
26°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
23°C or below
$20 Vol.
3%
24°C
$20 Vol.
7%
25°C
$20 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$59 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
36%
29°C
$0 Vol.
32%
30°C
$0 Vol.
7%
31°C
$0 Vol.
7%
32°C
$20 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$20 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlights warm advection from African and Arabian air masses as the dominant driver for Istanbul's August 23 temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime mixing and potentially capping peaks near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader pricing. Historical August averages around 28 °C provide a baseline, while the absence of strong sea-breeze cooling or precipitation supports the current narrow distribution ahead of updated model runs expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$159Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlights warm advection from African and Arabian air masses as the dominant driver for Istanbul's August 23 temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime mixing and potentially capping peaks near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader pricing. Historical August averages around 28 °C provide a baseline, while the absence of strong sea-breeze cooling or precipitation supports the current narrow distribution ahead of updated model runs expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$159Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlights warm advection from African and Arabian air masses as the dominant driver for Istanbul's August 23 temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime mixing and potentially capping peaks near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader pricing. Historical August averages around 28 °C provide a baseline, while the absence of strong sea-breeze cooling or precipitation supports the current narrow distribution ahead of updated model runs expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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