Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 23, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and the city's elevated plateau location that favors strong daytime heating with low humidity. Ensemble models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show minimal cooling fronts or cloud cover through the weekend, aligning with late-August climatology where highs typically decline from mid-month peaks above 35°C. Trader consensus clusters around 33°C as the mode, reflecting stable guidance with limited upside risk from heat advection or downside from Atlantic moisture. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 23 août ?
33°C 53%
34°C 38%
35°C 8%
36°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C
53%
34°C
38%
35°C
8%
36°C
7%
37°C
6%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
4%
33°C 53%
34°C 38%
35°C 8%
36°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
6%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C
$9 Vol.
53%
34°C
$0 Vol.
38%
35°C
$6 Vol.
8%
36°C
$9 Vol.
7%
37°C
$5 Vol.
6%
38°C
$20 Vol.
5%
39°C or higher
$20 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 23, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and the city's elevated plateau location that favors strong daytime heating with low humidity. Ensemble models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show minimal cooling fronts or cloud cover through the weekend, aligning with late-August climatology where highs typically decline from mid-month peaks above 35°C. Trader consensus clusters around 33°C as the mode, reflecting stable guidance with limited upside risk from heat advection or downside from Atlantic moisture. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$74Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 23, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and the city's elevated plateau location that favors strong daytime heating with low humidity. Ensemble models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show minimal cooling fronts or cloud cover through the weekend, aligning with late-August climatology where highs typically decline from mid-month peaks above 35°C. Trader consensus clusters around 33°C as the mode, reflecting stable guidance with limited upside risk from heat advection or downside from Atlantic moisture. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$74Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 23, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and the city's elevated plateau location that favors strong daytime heating with low humidity. Ensemble models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show minimal cooling fronts or cloud cover through the weekend, aligning with late-August climatology where highs typically decline from mid-month peaks above 35°C. Trader consensus clusters around 33°C as the mode, reflecting stable guidance with limited upside risk from heat advection or downside from Atlantic moisture. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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