Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to a minimum temperature on August 22 in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent warm, moist airmass with high dew points near 75°F and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Scattered thunderstorms and partial cloud cover further suppress temperature drops, consistent with climatological August lows averaging around 78°F but elevated by ongoing heat. Traders have priced 80-81°F highest at 53% because ensemble models show little deviation from this range absent a stronger frontal passage or enhanced convection. Recent record-tying daytime highs and active heat advisories reinforce expectations for subdued nocturnal cooling, keeping lower bins below 78°F at under 22% combined probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 22 août ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 22 août ?
80-81°F 53%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
53%
82-83°F
10%
84-85 °F
7%
86-87 °F
2%
88°F ou plus
2%
80-81°F 53%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
69°F or below
$25 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$25 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$25 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$25 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$36 Vol.
53%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
10%
84-85 °F
$0 Vol.
7%
86-87 °F
$25 Vol.
2%
88°F ou plus
$25 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to a minimum temperature on August 22 in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent warm, moist airmass with high dew points near 75°F and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Scattered thunderstorms and partial cloud cover further suppress temperature drops, consistent with climatological August lows averaging around 78°F but elevated by ongoing heat. Traders have priced 80-81°F highest at 53% because ensemble models show little deviation from this range absent a stronger frontal passage or enhanced convection. Recent record-tying daytime highs and active heat advisories reinforce expectations for subdued nocturnal cooling, keeping lower bins below 78°F at under 22% combined probability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$186Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to a minimum temperature on August 22 in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent warm, moist airmass with high dew points near 75°F and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Scattered thunderstorms and partial cloud cover further suppress temperature drops, consistent with climatological August lows averaging around 78°F but elevated by ongoing heat. Traders have priced 80-81°F highest at 53% because ensemble models show little deviation from this range absent a stronger frontal passage or enhanced convection. Recent record-tying daytime highs and active heat advisories reinforce expectations for subdued nocturnal cooling, keeping lower bins below 78°F at under 22% combined probability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$186Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to a minimum temperature on August 22 in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent warm, moist airmass with high dew points near 75°F and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Scattered thunderstorms and partial cloud cover further suppress temperature drops, consistent with climatological August lows averaging around 78°F but elevated by ongoing heat. Traders have priced 80-81°F highest at 53% because ensemble models show little deviation from this range absent a stronger frontal passage or enhanced convection. Recent record-tying daytime highs and active heat advisories reinforce expectations for subdued nocturnal cooling, keeping lower bins below 78°F at under 22% combined probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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