Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models indicate a cooling trend into the weekend, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers positioning overnight lows in Paris near 12–13°C on August 22. These conditions stem from a shift toward more northerly flow and increased cloud cover, which limits daytime heating while moderating radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 14–15°C, but the current pattern favors values at or below that baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C, aligns with this consensus guidance, though model spreads and any last-minute shifts in steering flow could still alter the exact minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 22 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 22 août ?
12°C 48%
13°C 34%
11°C 18%
9°C ou moins 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
9°C ou moins
6%
10°C
3%
11°C
18%
12°C
48%
13°C
34%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou plus
<1%
12°C 48%
13°C 34%
11°C 18%
9°C ou moins 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
9°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
6%
10°C
$50 Vol.
3%
11°C
$62 Vol.
18%
12°C
$1,170 Vol.
48%
13°C
$164 Vol.
34%
14°C
$60 Vol.
5%
15°C
$337 Vol.
2%
16°C
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou plus
$18 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models indicate a cooling trend into the weekend, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers positioning overnight lows in Paris near 12–13°C on August 22. These conditions stem from a shift toward more northerly flow and increased cloud cover, which limits daytime heating while moderating radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 14–15°C, but the current pattern favors values at or below that baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C, aligns with this consensus guidance, though model spreads and any last-minute shifts in steering flow could still alter the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,949Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models indicate a cooling trend into the weekend, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers positioning overnight lows in Paris near 12–13°C on August 22. These conditions stem from a shift toward more northerly flow and increased cloud cover, which limits daytime heating while moderating radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 14–15°C, but the current pattern favors values at or below that baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C, aligns with this consensus guidance, though model spreads and any last-minute shifts in steering flow could still alter the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,949Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models indicate a cooling trend into the weekend, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers positioning overnight lows in Paris near 12–13°C on August 22. These conditions stem from a shift toward more northerly flow and increased cloud cover, which limits daytime heating while moderating radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 14–15°C, but the current pattern favors values at or below that baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C, aligns with this consensus guidance, though model spreads and any last-minute shifts in steering flow could still alter the exact minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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