Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on August 20, point to a peak temperature near 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 22, driving the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% respectively. Persistent summer heat across the Yangtze River basin, combined with partly cloudy skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in maximum solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor differences in steering winds, boundary-layer moisture, and convective timing between model ensembles separate the 35°C and 36°C outcomes, while historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context. Updated CMA guidance and the next model cycle on August 21 represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Chongqing le 22 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 22 août ?
35°C 29%
36°C 26%
33°C 14%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
14%
35°C
29%
36°C
26%
37°C
14%
38°C or higher
12%
35°C 29%
36°C 26%
33°C 14%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
28°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$196 Vol.
1%
30°C
$70 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$32 Vol.
5%
33°C
$2 Vol.
14%
34°C
$9 Vol.
14%
35°C
$0 Vol.
29%
36°C
$25 Vol.
26%
37°C
$17 Vol.
14%
38°C or higher
$36 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on August 20, point to a peak temperature near 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 22, driving the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% respectively. Persistent summer heat across the Yangtze River basin, combined with partly cloudy skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in maximum solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor differences in steering winds, boundary-layer moisture, and convective timing between model ensembles separate the 35°C and 36°C outcomes, while historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context. Updated CMA guidance and the next model cycle on August 21 represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$582Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on August 20, point to a peak temperature near 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 22, driving the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% respectively. Persistent summer heat across the Yangtze River basin, combined with partly cloudy skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in maximum solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor differences in steering winds, boundary-layer moisture, and convective timing between model ensembles separate the 35°C and 36°C outcomes, while historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context. Updated CMA guidance and the next model cycle on August 21 represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$582Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on August 20, point to a peak temperature near 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 22, driving the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% respectively. Persistent summer heat across the Yangtze River basin, combined with partly cloudy skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in maximum solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor differences in steering winds, boundary-layer moisture, and convective timing between model ensembles separate the 35°C and 36°C outcomes, while historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context. Updated CMA guidance and the next model cycle on August 21 represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes