Recent global and regional forecast models, including those aligned with the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on August 22 under persistent subtropical monsoon conditions featuring elevated humidity, scattered afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that modulates solar heating. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, yet differences in shower timing and atmospheric instability create narrow uncertainty bands favoring 31–33°C outcomes. Traders’ closely matched probabilities reflect this genuine short-term variability in convective patterns, with model consensus expected to sharpen as new runs incorporate updated observational data ahead of the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 22 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 22 août ?
32°C 26%
31°C 26%
30°C 21%
33°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
15%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
16%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
7%
32°C 26%
31°C 26%
30°C 21%
33°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$70 Vol.
2%
29°C
$95 Vol.
11%
30°C
$113 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$32 Vol.
26%
33°C
$29 Vol.
16%
34°C
$16 Vol.
16%
35°C or higher
$25 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global and regional forecast models, including those aligned with the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on August 22 under persistent subtropical monsoon conditions featuring elevated humidity, scattered afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that modulates solar heating. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, yet differences in shower timing and atmospheric instability create narrow uncertainty bands favoring 31–33°C outcomes. Traders’ closely matched probabilities reflect this genuine short-term variability in convective patterns, with model consensus expected to sharpen as new runs incorporate updated observational data ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$380Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global and regional forecast models, including those aligned with the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on August 22 under persistent subtropical monsoon conditions featuring elevated humidity, scattered afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that modulates solar heating. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, yet differences in shower timing and atmospheric instability create narrow uncertainty bands favoring 31–33°C outcomes. Traders’ closely matched probabilities reflect this genuine short-term variability in convective patterns, with model consensus expected to sharpen as new runs incorporate updated observational data ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$380Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global and regional forecast models, including those aligned with the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on August 22 under persistent subtropical monsoon conditions featuring elevated humidity, scattered afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that modulates solar heating. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, yet differences in shower timing and atmospheric instability create narrow uncertainty bands favoring 31–33°C outcomes. Traders’ closely matched probabilities reflect this genuine short-term variability in convective patterns, with model consensus expected to sharpen as new runs incorporate updated observational data ahead of the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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