Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in the 13–15°C range for London on August 24, driven by light easterly winds, modest radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, and a stable air mass with dew points near 10–11°C. Hourly forecasts show the lowest readings occurring around dawn, with limited mixing and no significant frontal passage expected to alter the nocturnal temperature profile. Historical late-August climatology for the city centers near 13–14°C, providing a baseline against which current model runs align closely. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities tracks this narrow band most tightly, as later updates from the Met Office or ECMWF could shift the exact value within the 12–16°C window before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 24 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 24 août ?
14°C 38%
13°C 25%
15°C 24%
16°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
10°C ou moins
5%
11°C
5%
12°C
6%
13°C
25%
14°C
38%
15°C
24%
16°C
8%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C ou plus
1%
14°C 38%
13°C 25%
15°C 24%
16°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
10°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
5%
11°C
$30 Vol.
5%
12°C
$0 Vol.
6%
13°C
$25 Vol.
25%
14°C
$111 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
8%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in the 13–15°C range for London on August 24, driven by light easterly winds, modest radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, and a stable air mass with dew points near 10–11°C. Hourly forecasts show the lowest readings occurring around dawn, with limited mixing and no significant frontal passage expected to alter the nocturnal temperature profile. Historical late-August climatology for the city centers near 13–14°C, providing a baseline against which current model runs align closely. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities tracks this narrow band most tightly, as later updates from the Met Office or ECMWF could shift the exact value within the 12–16°C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
Volume
$185Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in the 13–15°C range for London on August 24, driven by light easterly winds, modest radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, and a stable air mass with dew points near 10–11°C. Hourly forecasts show the lowest readings occurring around dawn, with limited mixing and no significant frontal passage expected to alter the nocturnal temperature profile. Historical late-August climatology for the city centers near 13–14°C, providing a baseline against which current model runs align closely. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities tracks this narrow band most tightly, as later updates from the Met Office or ECMWF could shift the exact value within the 12–16°C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$185Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in the 13–15°C range for London on August 24, driven by light easterly winds, modest radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, and a stable air mass with dew points near 10–11°C. Hourly forecasts show the lowest readings occurring around dawn, with limited mixing and no significant frontal passage expected to alter the nocturnal temperature profile. Historical late-August climatology for the city centers near 13–14°C, providing a baseline against which current model runs align closely. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities tracks this narrow band most tightly, as later updates from the Met Office or ECMWF could shift the exact value within the 12–16°C window before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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