Unstable atmospheric conditions across the UAE are driving the primary catalyst for today's rain odds, with the National Centre of Meteorology forecasting afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers concentrated over eastern and southern regions. These areas, including parts of Al Ain, Fujairah, and interior Abu Dhabi, typically see the strongest development due to orographic lift and daytime heating that fuels thunderstorms under temperatures exceeding 40°C. Official guidance distinguishes this localized pattern from coastal zones like Dubai, where drier conditions predominate. Model consensus and historical summer analogs support continued instability through the afternoon, with NCM updates providing the key data releases that could refine resolution thresholds for measurable precipitation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù va-t-il pleuvoir le 22 août ?

New York, NY
28%

Los Angeles, CA
3%

Chicago, IL
50%

Houston, TX
5%

Dallas, TX
5%

Phoenix, AZ
5%

Philadelphie, PA
98%

Denver, CO
94%

Washington, DC
97%

Atlanta, GA
5%

Miami, FL
50%

Seattle, WA
5%

Boston, MA
50%

La Nouvelle-Orléans, LA
51%

San Francisco, CA
5%
$250 Vol.

New York, NY
28%

Los Angeles, CA
3%

Chicago, IL
50%

Houston, TX
5%

Dallas, TX
5%

Phoenix, AZ
5%

Philadelphie, PA
98%

Denver, CO
94%

Washington, DC
97%

Atlanta, GA
5%

Miami, FL
50%

Seattle, WA
5%

Boston, MA
50%

La Nouvelle-Orléans, LA
51%

San Francisco, CA
5%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Unstable atmospheric conditions across the UAE are driving the primary catalyst for today's rain odds, with the National Centre of Meteorology forecasting afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers concentrated over eastern and southern regions. These areas, including parts of Al Ain, Fujairah, and interior Abu Dhabi, typically see the strongest development due to orographic lift and daytime heating that fuels thunderstorms under temperatures exceeding 40°C. Official guidance distinguishes this localized pattern from coastal zones like Dubai, where drier conditions predominate. Model consensus and historical summer analogs support continued instability through the afternoon, with NCM updates providing the key data releases that could refine resolution thresholds for measurable precipitation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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