Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on April 24?
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$89,000 Vol.
$89,000 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$89,000 Vol.
$89,000 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 22, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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