Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 23 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 23 juillet ?
30°C 40%
31°C 26%
29°C 23%
28°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 juil. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
40%
31°C
26%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 26%
29°C 23%
28°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 juil. 2026
26°C or below
$1,093 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$326 Vol.
3%
28°C
$493 Vol.
8%
29°C
$790 Vol.
23%
30°C
$360 Vol.
40%
31°C
$833 Vol.
26%
32°C
$471 Vol.
3%
33°C
$479 Vol.
1%
34°C
$213 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$5,301Date de fin
23 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,301Date de fin
23 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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