Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 21 juillet ?
106-107°F 100.0%
99°F ou moins <1%
100-101 °F <1%
102-103°F <1%
$84,835 Vol.
$84,835 Vol.
99°F ou moins
Non
100-101 °F
Non
102-103°F
Non
104-105 °F
Non
106-107°F
Oui
108-109°F
Non
110-111°F
Non
112-113°F
Non
114-115°F
Non
116-117 °F
Non
118°F ou plus
Non
106-107°F 100.0%
99°F ou moins <1%
100-101 °F <1%
102-103°F <1%
$84,835 Vol.
$84,835 Vol.
99°F ou moins
Non
100-101 °F
Non
102-103°F
Non
104-105 °F
Non
106-107°F
Oui
108-109°F
Non
110-111°F
Non
112-113°F
Non
114-115°F
Non
116-117 °F
Non
118°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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