Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 11 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 11 juillet ?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,157 Vol.
$34,157 Vol.
11 juil. 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,157 Vol.
$34,157 Vol.
11 juil. 2026
25°C or below
$1,527 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,929 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,380 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,019 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,873 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,426 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$5,920 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,737 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,770 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,101 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$475 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$34,157Date de fin
11 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,157Date de fin
11 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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