Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 30 converge on daily maximum temperatures near 32°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes. Multiple global models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and low humidity following a period of cooler, rain-influenced conditions earlier in the week. This setup favors modest daytime heating consistent with late-August climatology, where Beijing averages peak near 30–31°C. Minor model spread around potential afternoon cloud development or subtle steering influences creates the narrow probability distribution between 31°C and 34°C thresholds, with higher outcomes remaining low-probability given current atmospheric stability. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 30 août ?
33°C 35%
32°C 29%
34°C 17%
31°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
13%
32°C
29%
33°C
35%
34°C
17%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 35%
32°C 29%
34°C 17%
31°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$30 Vol.
7%
31°C
$28 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
29%
33°C
$60 Vol.
35%
34°C
$17 Vol.
17%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 30 converge on daily maximum temperatures near 32°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes. Multiple global models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and low humidity following a period of cooler, rain-influenced conditions earlier in the week. This setup favors modest daytime heating consistent with late-August climatology, where Beijing averages peak near 30–31°C. Minor model spread around potential afternoon cloud development or subtle steering influences creates the narrow probability distribution between 31°C and 34°C thresholds, with higher outcomes remaining low-probability given current atmospheric stability. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$134Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 30 converge on daily maximum temperatures near 32°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes. Multiple global models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and low humidity following a period of cooler, rain-influenced conditions earlier in the week. This setup favors modest daytime heating consistent with late-August climatology, where Beijing averages peak near 30–31°C. Minor model spread around potential afternoon cloud development or subtle steering influences creates the narrow probability distribution between 31°C and 34°C thresholds, with higher outcomes remaining low-probability given current atmospheric stability. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$134Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 30 converge on daily maximum temperatures near 32°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes. Multiple global models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and low humidity following a period of cooler, rain-influenced conditions earlier in the week. This setup favors modest daytime heating consistent with late-August climatology, where Beijing averages peak near 30–31°C. Minor model spread around potential afternoon cloud development or subtle steering influences creates the narrow probability distribution between 31°C and 34°C thresholds, with higher outcomes remaining low-probability given current atmospheric stability. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes