**Equal market-implied odds across temperature bins reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chengdu’s August 30 maximum.** Recent heavy rain and overcast conditions on August 29 have cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, which may limit daytime heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies expected Sunday. Subtropical high-pressure influences, Sichuan basin topography that traps moisture, and variable low-level cloud cover create a narrow but uncertain range for peak insolation. Global and regional model ensembles currently cluster daily highs near 30–32 °C, yet modest shifts in cloud timing, wind direction, or boundary-layer mixing could easily move the observed maximum one bin higher or lower. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 30 août ?
32°C 22%
33°C 21%
29°C 20%
31°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
28°C or below
10%
29°C
20%
30°C
12%
31°C
18%
32°C
22%
33°C
21%
34°C
11%
35°C
9%
36°C
16%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
6%
32°C 22%
33°C 21%
29°C 20%
31°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
28°C or below
$20 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
11%
35°C
$0 Vol.
9%
36°C
$0 Vol.
16%
37°C
$0 Vol.
7%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Equal market-implied odds across temperature bins reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chengdu’s August 30 maximum.** Recent heavy rain and overcast conditions on August 29 have cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, which may limit daytime heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies expected Sunday. Subtropical high-pressure influences, Sichuan basin topography that traps moisture, and variable low-level cloud cover create a narrow but uncertain range for peak insolation. Global and regional model ensembles currently cluster daily highs near 30–32 °C, yet modest shifts in cloud timing, wind direction, or boundary-layer mixing could easily move the observed maximum one bin higher or lower. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Equal market-implied odds across temperature bins reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chengdu’s August 30 maximum.** Recent heavy rain and overcast conditions on August 29 have cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, which may limit daytime heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies expected Sunday. Subtropical high-pressure influences, Sichuan basin topography that traps moisture, and variable low-level cloud cover create a narrow but uncertain range for peak insolation. Global and regional model ensembles currently cluster daily highs near 30–32 °C, yet modest shifts in cloud timing, wind direction, or boundary-layer mixing could easily move the observed maximum one bin higher or lower. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Equal market-implied odds across temperature bins reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chengdu’s August 30 maximum.** Recent heavy rain and overcast conditions on August 29 have cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, which may limit daytime heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies expected Sunday. Subtropical high-pressure influences, Sichuan basin topography that traps moisture, and variable low-level cloud cover create a narrow but uncertain range for peak insolation. Global and regional model ensembles currently cluster daily highs near 30–32 °C, yet modest shifts in cloud timing, wind direction, or boundary-layer mixing could easily move the observed maximum one bin higher or lower. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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