**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional Chinese meteorological data indicate a minimum temperature for Chengdu on August 30 in the narrow 22–24°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C.** In the humid subtropical climate of the Sichuan Basin, overnight lows are shaped by radiative cooling under partly clear to clear skies following recent light rain on August 29, combined with light winds and high humidity that moderate temperature drops. Recent model runs show minor variations due to differences in cloud cover projections and boundary-layer moisture, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps the top outcomes within 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines for Chengdu (average lows near 22–23°C) provide context, with no major synoptic systems altering the pattern. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period will be key resolution drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chengdu le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Chengdu le 30 août ?
21°C 88%
18°C or below 54%
27°C 54%
23°C 47%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
18°C or below
54%
19°C
23%
20°C
44%
21°C
88%
22°C
45%
23°C
47%
24°C
46%
25°C
45%
26°C
34%
27°C
54%
28°C or higher
1%
21°C 88%
18°C or below 54%
27°C 54%
23°C 47%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
18°C or below
$145 Vol.
54%
19°C
$125 Vol.
23%
20°C
$0 Vol.
44%
21°C
$0 Vol.
88%
22°C
$0 Vol.
45%
23°C
$0 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
46%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$141 Vol.
34%
27°C
$145 Vol.
54%
28°C or higher
$145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional Chinese meteorological data indicate a minimum temperature for Chengdu on August 30 in the narrow 22–24°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C.**
In the humid subtropical climate of the Sichuan Basin, overnight lows are shaped by radiative cooling under partly clear to clear skies following recent light rain on August 29, combined with light winds and high humidity that moderate temperature drops. Recent model runs show minor variations due to differences in cloud cover projections and boundary-layer moisture, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps the top outcomes within 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines for Chengdu (average lows near 22–23°C) provide context, with no major synoptic systems altering the pattern. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period will be key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$701Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional Chinese meteorological data indicate a minimum temperature for Chengdu on August 30 in the narrow 22–24°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C.**
In the humid subtropical climate of the Sichuan Basin, overnight lows are shaped by radiative cooling under partly clear to clear skies following recent light rain on August 29, combined with light winds and high humidity that moderate temperature drops. Recent model runs show minor variations due to differences in cloud cover projections and boundary-layer moisture, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps the top outcomes within 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines for Chengdu (average lows near 22–23°C) provide context, with no major synoptic systems altering the pattern. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period will be key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$701Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional Chinese meteorological data indicate a minimum temperature for Chengdu on August 30 in the narrow 22–24°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C.** In the humid subtropical climate of the Sichuan Basin, overnight lows are shaped by radiative cooling under partly clear to clear skies following recent light rain on August 29, combined with light winds and high humidity that moderate temperature drops. Recent model runs show minor variations due to differences in cloud cover projections and boundary-layer moisture, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps the top outcomes within 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines for Chengdu (average lows near 22–23°C) provide context, with no major synoptic systems altering the pattern. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period will be key resolution drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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