Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the National Weather Service show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds allowing the minimum temperature in Panama City to reach or fall below the 20°C threshold by early morning. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability, as climatological records indicate such lows occur near the extreme tail of August distributions but remain attainable given the day's specific humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns. Traders' consensus reflects real-time model agreement rather than long-term averages, though revisions in final verified readings or unexpected boundary-layer mixing could still alter the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Panama City le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Panama City le 31 août ?
25°C 39%
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
24°C 24%
$686 Vol.
$686 Vol.
31 août 2026
20 °C ou moins
Oui
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
25°C 39%
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
24°C 24%
$686 Vol.
$686 Vol.
31 août 2026
20 °C ou moins
$140 Vol.
Oui
21°C
$21 Vol.
Non
22°C
$85 Vol.
Non
23°C
$0 Vol.
Non
24°C
$0 Vol.
Non
25°C
$0 Vol.
Non
26°C
$0 Vol.
Non
27°C
$0 Vol.
Non
28°C
$119 Vol.
Non
29°C
$101 Vol.
Non
30°C ou plus
$220 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the National Weather Service show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds allowing the minimum temperature in Panama City to reach or fall below the 20°C threshold by early morning. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability, as climatological records indicate such lows occur near the extreme tail of August distributions but remain attainable given the day's specific humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns. Traders' consensus reflects real-time model agreement rather than long-term averages, though revisions in final verified readings or unexpected boundary-layer mixing could still alter the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volume
$686Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 8:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the National Weather Service show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds allowing the minimum temperature in Panama City to reach or fall below the 20°C threshold by early morning. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability, as climatological records indicate such lows occur near the extreme tail of August distributions but remain attainable given the day's specific humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns. Traders' consensus reflects real-time model agreement rather than long-term averages, though revisions in final verified readings or unexpected boundary-layer mixing could still alter the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$686Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 8:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the National Weather Service show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds allowing the minimum temperature in Panama City to reach or fall below the 20°C threshold by early morning. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability, as climatological records indicate such lows occur near the extreme tail of August distributions but remain attainable given the day's specific humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns. Traders' consensus reflects real-time model agreement rather than long-term averages, though revisions in final verified readings or unexpected boundary-layer mixing could still alter the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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