The tight spread between 28°C (29%) and 29°C (27.5%) as leading outcomes reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila's August 29 maximum amid the southwest monsoon. Daily peak temperatures hinge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, versus any breaks that allow greater surface heating. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C set the thermodynamic baseline, while urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2°C locally. PAGASA and global model ensembles show modest disagreement on convective activity over the next 48 hours, with resolution depending on updated guidance for wind patterns and precipitation timing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 29 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 29 août ?
28°C 29%
29°C 28%
30°C 15%
27°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
14%
26°C
7%
27°C
15%
28°C
29%
29°C
28%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C ou plus
4%
28°C 29%
29°C 28%
30°C 15%
27°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$63 Vol.
14%
26°C
$77 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$17 Vol.
29%
29°C
$0 Vol.
28%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$40 Vol.
5%
32°C
$228 Vol.
3%
33°C ou plus
$105 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight spread between 28°C (29%) and 29°C (27.5%) as leading outcomes reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila's August 29 maximum amid the southwest monsoon. Daily peak temperatures hinge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, versus any breaks that allow greater surface heating. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C set the thermodynamic baseline, while urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2°C locally. PAGASA and global model ensembles show modest disagreement on convective activity over the next 48 hours, with resolution depending on updated guidance for wind patterns and precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$530Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight spread between 28°C (29%) and 29°C (27.5%) as leading outcomes reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila's August 29 maximum amid the southwest monsoon. Daily peak temperatures hinge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, versus any breaks that allow greater surface heating. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C set the thermodynamic baseline, while urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2°C locally. PAGASA and global model ensembles show modest disagreement on convective activity over the next 48 hours, with resolution depending on updated guidance for wind patterns and precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$530Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight spread between 28°C (29%) and 29°C (27.5%) as leading outcomes reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila's August 29 maximum amid the southwest monsoon. Daily peak temperatures hinge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, versus any breaks that allow greater surface heating. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C set the thermodynamic baseline, while urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2°C locally. PAGASA and global model ensembles show modest disagreement on convective activity over the next 48 hours, with resolution depending on updated guidance for wind patterns and precipitation timing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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