Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 31°C for Tokyo on August 27, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers (50-70% probability) that reduce surface insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions of August 26. This transition from a southwesterly flow to more northerly or easterly patterns limits afternoon heating while maintaining high humidity. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30-32°C because model runs show modest sensitivity to exact timing and intensity of precipitation, with any break in clouds potentially allowing brief spikes toward 32°C and heavier rain favoring the lower end near 30°C. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 27 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 27 août ?
31°C 28%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$10,973 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,973 Vol.
27 août 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
22%
31°C
28%
32°C
23%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 28%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$10,973 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,973 Vol.
27 août 2026
27°C or below
$320 Vol.
1%
28°C
$332 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,329 Vol.
11%
30°C
$1,552 Vol.
22%
31°C
$551 Vol.
28%
32°C
$1,264 Vol.
23%
33°C
$875 Vol.
9%
34°C
$1,162 Vol.
3%
35°C
$321 Vol.
3%
36°C
$1,728 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$1,538 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 31°C for Tokyo on August 27, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers (50-70% probability) that reduce surface insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions of August 26. This transition from a southwesterly flow to more northerly or easterly patterns limits afternoon heating while maintaining high humidity. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30-32°C because model runs show modest sensitivity to exact timing and intensity of precipitation, with any break in clouds potentially allowing brief spikes toward 32°C and heavier rain favoring the lower end near 30°C. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,973Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 31°C for Tokyo on August 27, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers (50-70% probability) that reduce surface insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions of August 26. This transition from a southwesterly flow to more northerly or easterly patterns limits afternoon heating while maintaining high humidity. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30-32°C because model runs show modest sensitivity to exact timing and intensity of precipitation, with any break in clouds potentially allowing brief spikes toward 32°C and heavier rain favoring the lower end near 30°C. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,973Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 31°C for Tokyo on August 27, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers (50-70% probability) that reduce surface insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions of August 26. This transition from a southwesterly flow to more northerly or easterly patterns limits afternoon heating while maintaining high humidity. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30-32°C because model runs show modest sensitivity to exact timing and intensity of precipitation, with any break in clouds potentially allowing brief spikes toward 32°C and heavier rain favoring the lower end near 30°C. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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