Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in London on August 26, with sunny intervals supporting the slight edge for 26°C while scattered showers introduce variability that keeps probabilities nearly even. Above-average summer warmth across England and Wales, driven by persistent high pressure, has elevated baseline conditions roughly 2–3°C above the 21–22°C August climatological norm, yet increasing Atlantic influence and potential cloud cover could cap readings at 25°C or below. Traders weigh these near-term model runs against historical late-August variability, where small shifts in timing of frontal systems often determine whether peaks reach the higher threshold. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify any adjustments to this tight consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 26 août ?
25°C 31%
26°C 29%
24°C 16%
27°C 15%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
16%
25°C
31%
26°C
29%
27°C
15%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 31%
26°C 29%
24°C 16%
27°C 15%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
16%
25°C
31%
26°C
29%
27°C
15%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in London on August 26, with sunny intervals supporting the slight edge for 26°C while scattered showers introduce variability that keeps probabilities nearly even. Above-average summer warmth across England and Wales, driven by persistent high pressure, has elevated baseline conditions roughly 2–3°C above the 21–22°C August climatological norm, yet increasing Atlantic influence and potential cloud cover could cap readings at 25°C or below. Traders weigh these near-term model runs against historical late-August variability, where small shifts in timing of frontal systems often determine whether peaks reach the higher threshold. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify any adjustments to this tight consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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