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icon for La température la plus élevée à Londres le 25 août ?

La température la plus élevée à Londres le 25 août ?

icon for La température la plus élevée à Londres le 25 août ?

La température la plus élevée à Londres le 25 août ?

22°C 27%

23°C 26%

21°C 19%

24°C 16%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

22°C 27%

23°C 26%

21°C 19%

24°C 16%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

17°C or below

$57 Vol.

<1%

18°C

$58 Vol.

<1%

19°C

$112 Vol.

3%

20°C

$187 Vol.

9%

21°C

$226 Vol.

19%

22°C

$122 Vol.

27%

23°C

$77 Vol.

26%

24°C

$336 Vol.

16%

25°C

$73 Vol.

8%

26°C

$50 Vol.

5%

27°C or higher

$52 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for London on Tuesday, August 25 points to a daily maximum of 22–24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 22 °C (36.5 %) and 23 °C (26.5 %).** Multiple operational models, including UK Met Office and ECMWF runs, indicate a transition from recent settled high pressure to a more unsettled pattern with easterly flow. This setup favors daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s after morning temperatures near 17–18 °C. Recent cooling from earlier August heatwave peaks (above 35 °C) and increasing cloud cover or light showers are the main drivers capping potential warmth. Model spread remains modest but centers on 22–24 °C, with slight upside risk to 25 °C if clearer skies develop and downside to 21 °C if showers arrive earlier. Historical late-August climatology for London (~20–22 °C average maximum) provides context, but current guidance supports the observed trader weighting toward the 22–23 °C bracket ahead of any final model updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,340
Date de fin
25 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for London on Tuesday, August 25 points to a daily maximum of 22–24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 22 °C (36.5 %) and 23 °C (26.5 %).** Multiple operational models, including UK Met Office and ECMWF runs, indicate a transition from recent settled high pressure to a more unsettled pattern with easterly flow. This setup favors daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s after morning temperatures near 17–18 °C. Recent cooling from earlier August heatwave peaks (above 35 °C) and increasing cloud cover or light showers are the main drivers capping potential warmth. Model spread remains modest but centers on 22–24 °C, with slight upside risk to 25 °C if clearer skies develop and downside to 21 °C if showers arrive earlier. Historical late-August climatology for London (~20–22 °C average maximum) provides context, but current guidance supports the observed trader weighting toward the 22–23 °C bracket ahead of any final model updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,340
Date de fin
25 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus élevée à Londres le 25 août ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 22°C » à 27%, suivi de « 23°C » à 26%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 27¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus élevée à Londres le 25 août ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 23, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus élevée à Londres le 25 août ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus élevée à Londres le 25 août ? » est « 22°C » à 27%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 23°C » à 26%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus élevée à Londres le 25 août ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.