Recent forecast model consensus from European meteorological centers indicates a highest temperature in Madrid on August 24 most likely near 28°C, driven by typical late-summer synoptic patterns featuring moderating Atlantic influences and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions. Seasonal climatology shows August highs declining from mid-month peaks, with current runs aligning below recent 30–32°C readings and historical baselines around 30–32°C. Short-range ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind shifts, keeping the 27–29°C range dominant while reducing odds of extremes. Updated AEMET and ECMWF model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 24 août ?
28°C 34%
27°C 25%
29°C 18%
26°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
9%
27°C
25%
28°C
34%
29°C
18%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32 °C
2%
33°C ou plus
1%
28°C 34%
27°C 25%
29°C 18%
26°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
23°C or below
$58 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$55 Vol.
3%
26°C
$248 Vol.
9%
27°C
$386 Vol.
25%
28°C
$2,194 Vol.
34%
29°C
$186 Vol.
18%
30°C
$15 Vol.
6%
31°C
$10 Vol.
2%
32 °C
$10 Vol.
2%
33°C ou plus
$85 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European meteorological centers indicates a highest temperature in Madrid on August 24 most likely near 28°C, driven by typical late-summer synoptic patterns featuring moderating Atlantic influences and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions. Seasonal climatology shows August highs declining from mid-month peaks, with current runs aligning below recent 30–32°C readings and historical baselines around 30–32°C. Short-range ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind shifts, keeping the 27–29°C range dominant while reducing odds of extremes. Updated AEMET and ECMWF model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,257Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European meteorological centers indicates a highest temperature in Madrid on August 24 most likely near 28°C, driven by typical late-summer synoptic patterns featuring moderating Atlantic influences and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions. Seasonal climatology shows August highs declining from mid-month peaks, with current runs aligning below recent 30–32°C readings and historical baselines around 30–32°C. Short-range ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind shifts, keeping the 27–29°C range dominant while reducing odds of extremes. Updated AEMET and ECMWF model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,257Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from European meteorological centers indicates a highest temperature in Madrid on August 24 most likely near 28°C, driven by typical late-summer synoptic patterns featuring moderating Atlantic influences and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions. Seasonal climatology shows August highs declining from mid-month peaks, with current runs aligning below recent 30–32°C readings and historical baselines around 30–32°C. Short-range ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind shifts, keeping the 27–29°C range dominant while reducing odds of extremes. Updated AEMET and ECMWF model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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