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icon for Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 26 août ?

Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 26 août ?

icon for Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 26 août ?

Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 26 août ?

30°C 34%

29°C 28%

31°C 20%

27°C 17%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

30°C 34%

29°C 28%

31°C 20%

27°C 17%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

23°C or below

$21 Vol.

1%

24°C

$16 Vol.

1%

25°C

$17 Vol.

1%

26°C

$5 Vol.

6%

27°C

$18 Vol.

17%

28°C

$260 Vol.

10%

29°C

$108 Vol.

28%

30°C

$64 Vol.

34%

31°C

$8 Vol.

20%

32°C

$121 Vol.

3%

33°C or higher

$5 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a highest temperature near 30°C for Incheon on August 26, driving the leading 33.5% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 28% amid model spread on cloud timing and weak frontal influences. Persistent late-summer humidity and residual warm advection from earlier August heatwave conditions support daytime maxima in the 29–32°C range, while 20% precipitation chances introduce variability that could suppress peaks below 30°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 31°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty window two days out, consistent with climatological late-August averages around 31°C but tempered by evolving guidance on boundary-layer mixing and any overnight tropical night effects. Updated model cycles and KMA briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$644
Date de fin
26 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a highest temperature near 30°C for Incheon on August 26, driving the leading 33.5% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 28% amid model spread on cloud timing and weak frontal influences. Persistent late-summer humidity and residual warm advection from earlier August heatwave conditions support daytime maxima in the 29–32°C range, while 20% precipitation chances introduce variability that could suppress peaks below 30°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 31°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty window two days out, consistent with climatological late-August averages around 31°C but tempered by evolving guidance on boundary-layer mixing and any overnight tropical night effects. Updated model cycles and KMA briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$644
Date de fin
26 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Questions fréquentes

« Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 26 août ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30°C » à 34%, suivi de « 29°C » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 34¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 34% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 26 août ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 24, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 26 août ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 26 août ? » est « 30°C » à 34%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 34% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 29°C » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 26 août ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.