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icon for La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 26 août ?

La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 26 août ?

icon for La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 26 août ?

La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 26 août ?

27°C 29%

26°C 28%

25°C 15%

28°C 13%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

27°C 29%

26°C 28%

25°C 15%

28°C 13%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

20°C or below

$5 Vol.

1%

21°C

$0 Vol.

1%

22°C

$0 Vol.

1%

23°C

$0 Vol.

1%

24°C

$0 Vol.

11%

25°C

$8 Vol.

15%

26°C

$6 Vol.

28%

27°C

$6 Vol.

29%

28°C

$0 Vol.

13%

29°C

$0 Vol.

12%

30°C or higher

$98 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources show Beijing transitioning from recent highs near 33–34°C on August 24–25 to cooler conditions on the 26th, driven by a cold front and widespread thunderstorms that enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit solar heating. Northerly winds are expected to advect cooler air, with consensus highs clustered between 24–28°C amid precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. This produces the tight 18.5% odds on 25–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August averages near 29.6°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$123
Date de fin
26 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources show Beijing transitioning from recent highs near 33–34°C on August 24–25 to cooler conditions on the 26th, driven by a cold front and widespread thunderstorms that enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit solar heating. Northerly winds are expected to advect cooler air, with consensus highs clustered between 24–28°C amid precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. This produces the tight 18.5% odds on 25–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August averages near 29.6°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$123
Date de fin
26 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 26 août ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 26°C » à 28%, suivi de « 27°C » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 28¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 26 août ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 24, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 26 août ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 26 août ? » est « 26°C » à 28%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 27°C » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 26 août ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.