Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a daily high in the lower 90s for Miami on August 23 amid southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup produces the tight market split between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins because the precise timing and coverage of convective initiation can cap surface heating once clouds and downdrafts develop. Abundant Gulf and Atlantic moisture supports strong instability and heat-index values above 105°F, yet marine moderation from the Atlantic sea breeze and any earlier storm activity can limit the peak by 1–3°F. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 89°F, so current model consensus and recent ridging breakdown favor the observed probabilities while leaving room for modest shifts with updated short-range guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 23 août ?
92-93°F 46%
90-91°F 41%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
2%
98°F ou plus
1%
92-93°F 46%
90-91°F 41%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
79°F or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$167 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$97 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$354 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$100 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$409 Vol.
6%
90-91°F
$1,320 Vol.
41%
92-93°F
$335 Vol.
46%
94-95°F
$222 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$220 Vol.
2%
98°F ou plus
$59 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a daily high in the lower 90s for Miami on August 23 amid southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup produces the tight market split between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins because the precise timing and coverage of convective initiation can cap surface heating once clouds and downdrafts develop. Abundant Gulf and Atlantic moisture supports strong instability and heat-index values above 105°F, yet marine moderation from the Atlantic sea breeze and any earlier storm activity can limit the peak by 1–3°F. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 89°F, so current model consensus and recent ridging breakdown favor the observed probabilities while leaving room for modest shifts with updated short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,451Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a daily high in the lower 90s for Miami on August 23 amid southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup produces the tight market split between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins because the precise timing and coverage of convective initiation can cap surface heating once clouds and downdrafts develop. Abundant Gulf and Atlantic moisture supports strong instability and heat-index values above 105°F, yet marine moderation from the Atlantic sea breeze and any earlier storm activity can limit the peak by 1–3°F. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 89°F, so current model consensus and recent ridging breakdown favor the observed probabilities while leaving room for modest shifts with updated short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,451Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a daily high in the lower 90s for Miami on August 23 amid southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup produces the tight market split between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins because the precise timing and coverage of convective initiation can cap surface heating once clouds and downdrafts develop. Abundant Gulf and Atlantic moisture supports strong instability and heat-index values above 105°F, yet marine moderation from the Atlantic sea breeze and any earlier storm activity can limit the peak by 1–3°F. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 89°F, so current model consensus and recent ridging breakdown favor the observed probabilities while leaving room for modest shifts with updated short-range guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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