Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major numerical weather prediction models points to a daytime high of 21–22°C in Toronto on August 23, supported by expected cloud cover, possible showers, and a moderating air mass after recent warmth. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with these outputs, assigning the strongest odds to the 21°C bin at 40.5% and 22°C at 28.0%, while lower probabilities for 23°C or above reflect limited confidence in significant warming. Late-August climatology favors highs near 24–25°C, yet recent model runs show cooler steering patterns and higher humidity suppressing peak temperatures. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the 23rd will refine resolution criteria tied to Environment Canada observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Toronto le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Toronto le 23 août ?
21°C 41%
22°C 28%
20°C 16%
23°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
16%
21°C
41%
22°C
28%
23°C
9%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 41%
22°C 28%
20°C 16%
23°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
15°C or below
$80 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$80 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$50 Vol.
2%
19°C
$28 Vol.
5%
20°C
$167 Vol.
16%
21°C
$28 Vol.
41%
22°C
$677 Vol.
28%
23°C
$285 Vol.
9%
24°C
$10 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major numerical weather prediction models points to a daytime high of 21–22°C in Toronto on August 23, supported by expected cloud cover, possible showers, and a moderating air mass after recent warmth. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with these outputs, assigning the strongest odds to the 21°C bin at 40.5% and 22°C at 28.0%, while lower probabilities for 23°C or above reflect limited confidence in significant warming. Late-August climatology favors highs near 24–25°C, yet recent model runs show cooler steering patterns and higher humidity suppressing peak temperatures. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the 23rd will refine resolution criteria tied to Environment Canada observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,379Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major numerical weather prediction models points to a daytime high of 21–22°C in Toronto on August 23, supported by expected cloud cover, possible showers, and a moderating air mass after recent warmth. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with these outputs, assigning the strongest odds to the 21°C bin at 40.5% and 22°C at 28.0%, while lower probabilities for 23°C or above reflect limited confidence in significant warming. Late-August climatology favors highs near 24–25°C, yet recent model runs show cooler steering patterns and higher humidity suppressing peak temperatures. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the 23rd will refine resolution criteria tied to Environment Canada observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,379Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major numerical weather prediction models points to a daytime high of 21–22°C in Toronto on August 23, supported by expected cloud cover, possible showers, and a moderating air mass after recent warmth. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with these outputs, assigning the strongest odds to the 21°C bin at 40.5% and 22°C at 28.0%, while lower probabilities for 23°C or above reflect limited confidence in significant warming. Late-August climatology favors highs near 24–25°C, yet recent model runs show cooler steering patterns and higher humidity suppressing peak temperatures. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the 23rd will refine resolution criteria tied to Environment Canada observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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