Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wellington le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Wellington le 24 août ?
15°C 55%
14°C 31%
16°C 31%
13°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
6%
14°C
29%
15°C
55%
16°C
20%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 55%
14°C 31%
16°C 31%
13°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
9°C or below
$32 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$99 Vol.
6%
14°C
$182 Vol.
29%
15°C
$123 Vol.
55%
16°C
$188 Vol.
20%
17°C
$169 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,032Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,032Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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