Forecast models from MetService, Yr.no, and others project Wellington's overnight low on August 24 around 8–11°C, driven by clearing skies after Sunday's northwest front and moderate NW winds of 15–30 km/h. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling after sunset, while persistent breezes limit surface decoupling and keep temperatures from falling sharply. This aligns with historical August 24 averages of roughly 8–12°C for daily lows. The closely matched market odds on extremes versus mid-range outcomes (8–11°C) reflect model spread on exact wind strength and cloud timing, with traders weighing potential for greater cooling under lighter winds against mixing that favors milder readings near 10–11°C. Updated guidance from the next model runs could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wellington le 24 août ?
La température la plus basse à Wellington le 24 août ?
5°C or below 86%
15°C or higher 86%
8°C 28%
9°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
5°C or below
86%
6°C
25%
7°C
25%
8°C
28%
9°C
28%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
8%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
86%
5°C or below 86%
15°C or higher 86%
8°C 28%
9°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
5°C or below
$5 Vol.
86%
6°C
$0 Vol.
25%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
28%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$5 Vol.
8%
14°C
$5 Vol.
2%
15°C or higher
$5 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, Yr.no, and others project Wellington's overnight low on August 24 around 8–11°C, driven by clearing skies after Sunday's northwest front and moderate NW winds of 15–30 km/h. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling after sunset, while persistent breezes limit surface decoupling and keep temperatures from falling sharply. This aligns with historical August 24 averages of roughly 8–12°C for daily lows. The closely matched market odds on extremes versus mid-range outcomes (8–11°C) reflect model spread on exact wind strength and cloud timing, with traders weighing potential for greater cooling under lighter winds against mixing that favors milder readings near 10–11°C. Updated guidance from the next model runs could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, Yr.no, and others project Wellington's overnight low on August 24 around 8–11°C, driven by clearing skies after Sunday's northwest front and moderate NW winds of 15–30 km/h. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling after sunset, while persistent breezes limit surface decoupling and keep temperatures from falling sharply. This aligns with historical August 24 averages of roughly 8–12°C for daily lows. The closely matched market odds on extremes versus mid-range outcomes (8–11°C) reflect model spread on exact wind strength and cloud timing, with traders weighing potential for greater cooling under lighter winds against mixing that favors milder readings near 10–11°C. Updated guidance from the next model runs could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService, Yr.no, and others project Wellington's overnight low on August 24 around 8–11°C, driven by clearing skies after Sunday's northwest front and moderate NW winds of 15–30 km/h. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling after sunset, while persistent breezes limit surface decoupling and keep temperatures from falling sharply. This aligns with historical August 24 averages of roughly 8–12°C for daily lows. The closely matched market odds on extremes versus mid-range outcomes (8–11°C) reflect model spread on exact wind strength and cloud timing, with traders weighing potential for greater cooling under lighter winds against mixing that favors milder readings near 10–11°C. Updated guidance from the next model runs could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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