Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 26 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 26 août ?
29°C 43%
30°C 29%
28°C 23%
31°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
23%
29°C
43%
30°C
29%
31°C
9%
32°C
8%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
29°C 43%
30°C 29%
28°C 23%
31°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$9 Vol.
43%
30°C
$0 Vol.
29%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C
$0 Vol.
8%
33°C
$5 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$19Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes