Persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow are driving National Weather Service forecasts for a peak near 105°F in Austin on August 23, consistent with the market’s dominant 104–105°F bin at 53.5% implied probability. Model guidance and recent heatwave conditions support this range, while modest ensemble spread and potential station-to-station differences account for the secondary 27.5% on 106–107°F. August climatology typically sees highs in the mid- to upper 90s, but ongoing subsidence and dry boundary-layer mixing favor the upper end of the distribution ahead of final forecast updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 23 août ?
104-105°F 54%
106-107°F 28%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
95°F ou moins
<1%
96-97 °F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101 °F
3%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
54%
106-107°F
28%
108-109°F
5%
110-111 °F
1%
112-113°F
2%
114°F ou plus
<1%
104-105°F 54%
106-107°F 28%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
95°F ou moins
$80 Vol.
<1%
96-97 °F
$87 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$26 Vol.
1%
100-101 °F
$105 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$380 Vol.
13%
104-105°F
$218 Vol.
54%
106-107°F
$199 Vol.
28%
108-109°F
$47 Vol.
5%
110-111 °F
$22 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$26 Vol.
2%
114°F ou plus
$18 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow are driving National Weather Service forecasts for a peak near 105°F in Austin on August 23, consistent with the market’s dominant 104–105°F bin at 53.5% implied probability. Model guidance and recent heatwave conditions support this range, while modest ensemble spread and potential station-to-station differences account for the secondary 27.5% on 106–107°F. August climatology typically sees highs in the mid- to upper 90s, but ongoing subsidence and dry boundary-layer mixing favor the upper end of the distribution ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,207Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow are driving National Weather Service forecasts for a peak near 105°F in Austin on August 23, consistent with the market’s dominant 104–105°F bin at 53.5% implied probability. Model guidance and recent heatwave conditions support this range, while modest ensemble spread and potential station-to-station differences account for the secondary 27.5% on 106–107°F. August climatology typically sees highs in the mid- to upper 90s, but ongoing subsidence and dry boundary-layer mixing favor the upper end of the distribution ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,207Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow are driving National Weather Service forecasts for a peak near 105°F in Austin on August 23, consistent with the market’s dominant 104–105°F bin at 53.5% implied probability. Model guidance and recent heatwave conditions support this range, while modest ensemble spread and potential station-to-station differences account for the secondary 27.5% on 106–107°F. August climatology typically sees highs in the mid- to upper 90s, but ongoing subsidence and dry boundary-layer mixing favor the upper end of the distribution ahead of final forecast updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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