Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Minor model spreads around cloud cover and wind patterns explain the close 30°C and 32°C probabilities, with traders monitoring the next KMA update for any shifts in the 24-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 24 août ?
31°C 38%
30°C 30%
32°C 15%
29°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
30%
31°C
38%
32°C
15%
33°C or higher
5%
31°C 38%
30°C 30%
32°C 15%
29°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
23°C or below
$279 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$42 Vol.
1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
1%
28°C
$39 Vol.
4%
29°C
$67 Vol.
11%
30°C
$96 Vol.
30%
31°C
$122 Vol.
38%
32°C
$37 Vol.
15%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Minor model spreads around cloud cover and wind patterns explain the close 30°C and 32°C probabilities, with traders monitoring the next KMA update for any shifts in the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,138Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Minor model spreads around cloud cover and wind patterns explain the close 30°C and 32°C probabilities, with traders monitoring the next KMA update for any shifts in the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,138Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Minor model spreads around cloud cover and wind patterns explain the close 30°C and 32°C probabilities, with traders monitoring the next KMA update for any shifts in the 24-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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