Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover over Beijing on August 25, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome at 49.5% implied probability, as lingering monsoon moisture and potential for heavier rain could enhance cooling relative to the 20.6°C historical average low. Upcoming model updates from NOAA and local agencies will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift resolution thresholds before market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Pékin le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Pékin le 25 août ?
31°C or higher 48%
21°C or below 41%
24°C 31%
25°C 31%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
21°C or below
41%
22°C
23%
23°C
23%
24°C
31%
25°C
31%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
48%
31°C or higher 48%
21°C or below 41%
24°C 31%
25°C 31%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
41%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
31%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover over Beijing on August 25, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome at 49.5% implied probability, as lingering monsoon moisture and potential for heavier rain could enhance cooling relative to the 20.6°C historical average low. Upcoming model updates from NOAA and local agencies will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift resolution thresholds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover over Beijing on August 25, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome at 49.5% implied probability, as lingering monsoon moisture and potential for heavier rain could enhance cooling relative to the 20.6°C historical average low. Upcoming model updates from NOAA and local agencies will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift resolution thresholds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover over Beijing on August 25, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome at 49.5% implied probability, as lingering monsoon moisture and potential for heavier rain could enhance cooling relative to the 20.6°C historical average low. Upcoming model updates from NOAA and local agencies will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift resolution thresholds before market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes