Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 24 août ?
31°C 34%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
24°C ou moins
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
14%
30°C
26%
31°C
34%
32°C
17%
33°C
12%
34°C ou plus
10%
31°C 34%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
24°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
8%
29°C
$13 Vol.
14%
30°C
$13 Vol.
26%
31°C
$13 Vol.
34%
32°C
$24 Vol.
17%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$70Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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