Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow are capping San Francisco highs near 67–69°F per latest NWS and model guidance for August 25, consistent with recent mid-60s readings and the date’s 69.6°F climatological average. Traders nevertheless concentrate implied probability on 70–73°F outcomes because afternoon clearing, minor model spread in inversion strength, and historical variability around the marine layer’s depth can add a few degrees. With no heat ridge or offshore flow expected, resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the downtown station, where even small shifts in cloud timing differentiate the tightly bunched leading bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 25 août ?
72-73 °F 31%
70-71°F 26%
74-75 °F 23%
68-69°F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
63°F ou moins
2%
64-65 °F
3%
66-67 °F
6%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
26%
72-73 °F
31%
74-75 °F
23%
76-77 °F
10%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
3%
82°F ou plus
6%
72-73 °F 31%
70-71°F 26%
74-75 °F 23%
68-69°F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
63°F ou moins
$10 Vol.
2%
64-65 °F
$20 Vol.
3%
66-67 °F
$0 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$30 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$7 Vol.
26%
72-73 °F
$58 Vol.
31%
74-75 °F
$119 Vol.
23%
76-77 °F
$2 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$70 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$59 Vol.
3%
82°F ou plus
$59 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow are capping San Francisco highs near 67–69°F per latest NWS and model guidance for August 25, consistent with recent mid-60s readings and the date’s 69.6°F climatological average. Traders nevertheless concentrate implied probability on 70–73°F outcomes because afternoon clearing, minor model spread in inversion strength, and historical variability around the marine layer’s depth can add a few degrees. With no heat ridge or offshore flow expected, resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the downtown station, where even small shifts in cloud timing differentiate the tightly bunched leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$435Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow are capping San Francisco highs near 67–69°F per latest NWS and model guidance for August 25, consistent with recent mid-60s readings and the date’s 69.6°F climatological average. Traders nevertheless concentrate implied probability on 70–73°F outcomes because afternoon clearing, minor model spread in inversion strength, and historical variability around the marine layer’s depth can add a few degrees. With no heat ridge or offshore flow expected, resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the downtown station, where even small shifts in cloud timing differentiate the tightly bunched leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$435Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow are capping San Francisco highs near 67–69°F per latest NWS and model guidance for August 25, consistent with recent mid-60s readings and the date’s 69.6°F climatological average. Traders nevertheless concentrate implied probability on 70–73°F outcomes because afternoon clearing, minor model spread in inversion strength, and historical variability around the marine layer’s depth can add a few degrees. With no heat ridge or offshore flow expected, resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the downtown station, where even small shifts in cloud timing differentiate the tightly bunched leading bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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