**Forecast consensus from models including GFS, ECMWF, and AEMET guidance supports a maximum temperature of 29–30 °C on 29 August under clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and dry conditions typical of Madrid’s continental climate at the end of summer.** High pressure dominates, promoting strong daytime insolation with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate heating, while overnight lows in the mid-teens allow efficient radiational cooling. Recent model runs show little spread, with afternoon peaks consistently projected near or just above 30 °C and negligible precipitation risk. This stability underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 30–31 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the short-range forecast window. Updated guidance from the Spanish meteorological service or new satellite observations could refine the exact peak, though current signals indicate limited upside beyond 32 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 29 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 29 août ?
31°C 59%
30°C 34%
32°C 7%
29°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
34%
31°C
59%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 59%
30°C 34%
32°C 7%
29°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
25°C or below
$499 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$308 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$854 Vol.
3%
30°C
$2,567 Vol.
34%
31°C
$2,771 Vol.
59%
32°C
$1,086 Vol.
7%
33°C
$512 Vol.
1%
34°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$273 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models including GFS, ECMWF, and AEMET guidance supports a maximum temperature of 29–30 °C on 29 August under clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and dry conditions typical of Madrid’s continental climate at the end of summer.** High pressure dominates, promoting strong daytime insolation with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate heating, while overnight lows in the mid-teens allow efficient radiational cooling. Recent model runs show little spread, with afternoon peaks consistently projected near or just above 30 °C and negligible precipitation risk. This stability underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 30–31 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the short-range forecast window. Updated guidance from the Spanish meteorological service or new satellite observations could refine the exact peak, though current signals indicate limited upside beyond 32 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$9,758Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models including GFS, ECMWF, and AEMET guidance supports a maximum temperature of 29–30 °C on 29 August under clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and dry conditions typical of Madrid’s continental climate at the end of summer.** High pressure dominates, promoting strong daytime insolation with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate heating, while overnight lows in the mid-teens allow efficient radiational cooling. Recent model runs show little spread, with afternoon peaks consistently projected near or just above 30 °C and negligible precipitation risk. This stability underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 30–31 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the short-range forecast window. Updated guidance from the Spanish meteorological service or new satellite observations could refine the exact peak, though current signals indicate limited upside beyond 32 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,758Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from models including GFS, ECMWF, and AEMET guidance supports a maximum temperature of 29–30 °C on 29 August under clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and dry conditions typical of Madrid’s continental climate at the end of summer.** High pressure dominates, promoting strong daytime insolation with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate heating, while overnight lows in the mid-teens allow efficient radiational cooling. Recent model runs show little spread, with afternoon peaks consistently projected near or just above 30 °C and negligible precipitation risk. This stability underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 30–31 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the short-range forecast window. Updated guidance from the Spanish meteorological service or new satellite observations could refine the exact peak, though current signals indicate limited upside beyond 32 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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