Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France show an unstable, humid airmass over Paris on August 27, 2026, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorm risk developing by afternoon. This convective activity and reduced solar insolation are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C (34.5%) and 29°C (29.5%), just above the long-term average high of 24.3°C for the date. Light southerly winds and the city's urban heat island effect could add 1–3°C locally where breaks in cloud occur, but stronger storms would cap readings near 27°C. Traders are weighing model spreads on timing and coverage of precipitation against recent August trends of warmer-than-normal conditions. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations will likely sharpen resolution as the day progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 27 août ?
28°C 34%
29°C 30%
27°C 18%
30°C or higher 9%
$90,408 Vol.
$90,408 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
8%
27°C
18%
28°C
34%
29°C
30%
30°C or higher
9%
28°C 34%
29°C 30%
27°C 18%
30°C or higher 9%
$90,408 Vol.
$90,408 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
8%
27°C
18%
28°C
34%
29°C
30%
30°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France show an unstable, humid airmass over Paris on August 27, 2026, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorm risk developing by afternoon. This convective activity and reduced solar insolation are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C (34.5%) and 29°C (29.5%), just above the long-term average high of 24.3°C for the date. Light southerly winds and the city's urban heat island effect could add 1–3°C locally where breaks in cloud occur, but stronger storms would cap readings near 27°C. Traders are weighing model spreads on timing and coverage of precipitation against recent August trends of warmer-than-normal conditions. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations will likely sharpen resolution as the day progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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