Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily high of 32–33 °C for Shanghai on August 27 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain or drizzle and persistent northeast winds of 10–20 km/h. These conditions, typical of late-summer subtropical monsoon flow, limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling while preventing extreme values. Historical August averages near 31 °C and the absence of anomalous ridging or clear-sky heating support the market’s strong preference for 32 °C (59.5 % implied probability) over adjacent outcomes. Minor model spread in precipitation timing introduces the secondary weighting on 31 °C, with resolution hinging on the final verified maximum from local observing stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 27 août ?
32°C 60%
31°C 25%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$14,241 Vol.
$14,241 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
25%
32°C
60%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
31°C 25%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$14,241 Vol.
$14,241 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
25%
32°C
60%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily high of 32–33 °C for Shanghai on August 27 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain or drizzle and persistent northeast winds of 10–20 km/h. These conditions, typical of late-summer subtropical monsoon flow, limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling while preventing extreme values. Historical August averages near 31 °C and the absence of anomalous ridging or clear-sky heating support the market’s strong preference for 32 °C (59.5 % implied probability) over adjacent outcomes. Minor model spread in precipitation timing introduces the secondary weighting on 31 °C, with resolution hinging on the final verified maximum from local observing stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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