Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 29 août ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 29 août ?
31°C ou plus 60%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
21°C ou moins
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C ou plus
60%
31°C ou plus 60%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$135 Vol.
8%
22°C
$54 Vol.
7%
23°C
$34 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
29%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$5 Vol.
49%
29°C
$5 Vol.
49%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$243Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$243Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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