Latest Environment Canada forecasts project a 17°C overnight low for Toronto on August 29 under partly cloudy conditions following a 26°C high, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 13–15°C due to model divergence on nocturnal radiative cooling. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover that could suppress or enhance surface heat loss, light westerly winds reducing mixing with warmer air aloft, and the moderating influence of Lake Ontario on the urban heat island. Recent model runs show slight cooling potential from a northwest air mass, while historical August norms near 16.5°C provide context for the narrow spread amid forecast uncertainty. Updated NHC-style guidance and overnight observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Toronto le 29 août ?
19°C ou plus 66%
18°C 41%
14°C 32%
13°C 28%
9°C ou moins
4%
10°C
8%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
28%
14°C
32%
15°C
28%
16°C
25%
17°C
3%
18°C
41%
19°C ou plus
66%
19°C ou plus 66%
18°C 41%
14°C 32%
13°C 28%
9°C ou moins
4%
10°C
8%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
28%
14°C
32%
15°C
28%
16°C
25%
17°C
3%
18°C
41%
19°C ou plus
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Environment Canada forecasts project a 17°C overnight low for Toronto on August 29 under partly cloudy conditions following a 26°C high, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 13–15°C due to model divergence on nocturnal radiative cooling. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover that could suppress or enhance surface heat loss, light westerly winds reducing mixing with warmer air aloft, and the moderating influence of Lake Ontario on the urban heat island. Recent model runs show slight cooling potential from a northwest air mass, while historical August norms near 16.5°C provide context for the narrow spread amid forecast uncertainty. Updated NHC-style guidance and overnight observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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