Recent forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate cloudy conditions with intermittent rain and thunderstorms likely on August 29, moderating daytime heating in Busan through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This positions maximum temperatures in the 30–32°C range as the market consensus, consistent with historical late-August baselines near 28–31°C when precipitation occurs. Southwest flow and high humidity further limit extreme warming, while model consensus on steering patterns reduces upside risk for 34°C or higher. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Busan le 29 août ?
32°C 41%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
30°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
11%
31°C
21%
32°C
41%
33°C
20%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C ou plus
1%
32°C 41%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
30°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
11%
31°C
21%
32°C
41%
33°C
20%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate cloudy conditions with intermittent rain and thunderstorms likely on August 29, moderating daytime heating in Busan through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This positions maximum temperatures in the 30–32°C range as the market consensus, consistent with historical late-August baselines near 28–31°C when precipitation occurs. Southwest flow and high humidity further limit extreme warming, while model consensus on steering patterns reduces upside risk for 34°C or higher. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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