Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature in Milan on August 29 near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and low precipitation risk. This consensus drives the close market-implied odds between 29°C and 30°C, as minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of maximum insolation can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology shows typical maxima of 28–31°C, with current dry conditions and modest humidity supporting the upper range of guidance. Traders monitor final model runs and official observations for resolution, noting that forecast uncertainty remains modest this close to the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 29 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 29 août ?
29°C 42%
30°C 38%
28°C 13%
31°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
42%
30°C
38%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 42%
30°C 38%
28°C 13%
31°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
23°C or below
$423 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$852 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$545 Vol.
2%
28°C
$638 Vol.
13%
29°C
$2,601 Vol.
42%
30°C
$1,463 Vol.
38%
31°C
$1,842 Vol.
6%
32°C
$245 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$139 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature in Milan on August 29 near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and low precipitation risk. This consensus drives the close market-implied odds between 29°C and 30°C, as minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of maximum insolation can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology shows typical maxima of 28–31°C, with current dry conditions and modest humidity supporting the upper range of guidance. Traders monitor final model runs and official observations for resolution, noting that forecast uncertainty remains modest this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$9,087Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature in Milan on August 29 near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and low precipitation risk. This consensus drives the close market-implied odds between 29°C and 30°C, as minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of maximum insolation can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology shows typical maxima of 28–31°C, with current dry conditions and modest humidity supporting the upper range of guidance. Traders monitor final model runs and official observations for resolution, noting that forecast uncertainty remains modest this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,087Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature in Milan on August 29 near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and low precipitation risk. This consensus drives the close market-implied odds between 29°C and 30°C, as minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of maximum insolation can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology shows typical maxima of 28–31°C, with current dry conditions and modest humidity supporting the upper range of guidance. Traders monitor final model runs and official observations for resolution, noting that forecast uncertainty remains modest this close to the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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