Recent forecasts from multiple models and official sources converge on a maximum temperature of 32°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring southeast winds, high humidity near 80%, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. These factors limit extreme heating while sustaining warmth near seasonal norms, with dew points around 26–27°C contributing to heat index values above the air temperature. Trader emphasis on the 32°C outcome reflects model agreement and the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or clearer skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Updated runs show only modest variability, keeping lower probabilities on 31°C or 34°C+ thresholds ahead of final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 29 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 29 août ?
32°C 57%
31°C 24%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$17,445 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,445 Vol.
29 août 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
57%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 24%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$17,445 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,445 Vol.
29 août 2026
26°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$436 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,318 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,526 Vol.
6%
31°C
$1,780 Vol.
24%
32°C
$3,397 Vol.
57%
33°C
$3,949 Vol.
12%
34°C
$1,391 Vol.
2%
35°C
$704 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and official sources converge on a maximum temperature of 32°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring southeast winds, high humidity near 80%, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. These factors limit extreme heating while sustaining warmth near seasonal norms, with dew points around 26–27°C contributing to heat index values above the air temperature. Trader emphasis on the 32°C outcome reflects model agreement and the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or clearer skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Updated runs show only modest variability, keeping lower probabilities on 31°C or 34°C+ thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,445Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and official sources converge on a maximum temperature of 32°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring southeast winds, high humidity near 80%, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. These factors limit extreme heating while sustaining warmth near seasonal norms, with dew points around 26–27°C contributing to heat index values above the air temperature. Trader emphasis on the 32°C outcome reflects model agreement and the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or clearer skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Updated runs show only modest variability, keeping lower probabilities on 31°C or 34°C+ thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,445Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and official sources converge on a maximum temperature of 32°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring southeast winds, high humidity near 80%, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. These factors limit extreme heating while sustaining warmth near seasonal norms, with dew points around 26–27°C contributing to heat index values above the air temperature. Trader emphasis on the 32°C outcome reflects model agreement and the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or clearer skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Updated runs show only modest variability, keeping lower probabilities on 31°C or 34°C+ thresholds ahead of final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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