Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Buenos Aires reaching 29°C or higher today, with 28°C at 31.5% and 27°C at 17%, reflecting the latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and AccuWeather projecting peak afternoon highs around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies and humid conditions. This positioning stems from a persistent warm air mass over the La Plata basin following late-March highs exceeding 29°C, combined with light southerly winds and minimal cloud interference allowing urban heat island effects to boost city-center readings above airport observations. Model ensembles like GFS show slight spread, with potential for sea-breeze moderation capping intensity, while hourly SMN updates this afternoon will refine trader sentiment ahead of the typical 2-5 p.m. maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 3 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 3 avril ?
29°C ou plus 50%
28°C 33%
27°C 17%
26°C 6%
$42,821 Vol.
$42,821 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
33%
29°C ou plus
50%
29°C ou plus 50%
28°C 33%
27°C 17%
26°C 6%
$42,821 Vol.
$42,821 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
33%
29°C ou plus
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Buenos Aires reaching 29°C or higher today, with 28°C at 31.5% and 27°C at 17%, reflecting the latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and AccuWeather projecting peak afternoon highs around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies and humid conditions. This positioning stems from a persistent warm air mass over the La Plata basin following late-March highs exceeding 29°C, combined with light southerly winds and minimal cloud interference allowing urban heat island effects to boost city-center readings above airport observations. Model ensembles like GFS show slight spread, with potential for sea-breeze moderation capping intensity, while hourly SMN updates this afternoon will refine trader sentiment ahead of the typical 2-5 p.m. maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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