Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, as referenced in recent updates, project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (27.5% implied probability), 20°C (23.5%), and 22°C (18.5%) at Ezeiza Airport, the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) station for resolution. This tight clustering reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions, differentiated by model disagreements on afternoon sea breeze strength from the South Atlantic—which could cap highs at 20°C via enhanced coastal cooling—and potential cloud development suppressing solar heating. Typical early April highs average 22°C historically, amid autumnal cooling trends, with SMN updates and new 00Z model runs expected later today to potentially refine the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 28%
20°C 24%
22°C 20%
19°C 12.3%
$21,688 Vol.
$21,688 Vol.
4 avr. 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
12%
20°C
24%
21°C
28%
22°C
20%
23°C
10%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 28%
20°C 24%
22°C 20%
19°C 12.3%
$21,688 Vol.
$21,688 Vol.
4 avr. 2026
17°C or below
$1,669 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,165 Vol.
4%
19°C
$1,507 Vol.
12%
20°C
$1,412 Vol.
24%
21°C
$1,552 Vol.
28%
22°C
$1,435 Vol.
20%
23°C
$1,334 Vol.
10%
24°C
$2,065 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,745 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,171 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$5,693 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, as referenced in recent updates, project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (27.5% implied probability), 20°C (23.5%), and 22°C (18.5%) at Ezeiza Airport, the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) station for resolution. This tight clustering reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions, differentiated by model disagreements on afternoon sea breeze strength from the South Atlantic—which could cap highs at 20°C via enhanced coastal cooling—and potential cloud development suppressing solar heating. Typical early April highs average 22°C historically, amid autumnal cooling trends, with SMN updates and new 00Z model runs expected later today to potentially refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volume
$21,688Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, as referenced in recent updates, project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (27.5% implied probability), 20°C (23.5%), and 22°C (18.5%) at Ezeiza Airport, the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) station for resolution. This tight clustering reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions, differentiated by model disagreements on afternoon sea breeze strength from the South Atlantic—which could cap highs at 20°C via enhanced coastal cooling—and potential cloud development suppressing solar heating. Typical early April highs average 22°C historically, amid autumnal cooling trends, with SMN updates and new 00Z model runs expected later today to potentially refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,688Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, as referenced in recent updates, project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (27.5% implied probability), 20°C (23.5%), and 22°C (18.5%) at Ezeiza Airport, the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) station for resolution. This tight clustering reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions, differentiated by model disagreements on afternoon sea breeze strength from the South Atlantic—which could cap highs at 20°C via enhanced coastal cooling—and potential cloud development suppressing solar heating. Typical early April highs average 22°C historically, amid autumnal cooling trends, with SMN updates and new 00Z model runs expected later today to potentially refine the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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