Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 52-53°F at 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, anchored by official observations from the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) automated surface observing system (ASOS), which recorded the daily maximum in this range via Weather Underground data feeds. This positioning stems from persistent marine stratus clouds and cool northerly flow over the Puget Sound, capping daytime heating below the early April climatological normal of about 57°F, consistent with NOAA historical analogs for overcast spring days. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control audits by the National Weather Service, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final NWS monthly climate report due mid-May.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 2 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 2 avril ?
52-53°F 100.0%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
58°F ou plus <1%
$154,835 Vol.
$154,835 Vol.
52-53°F
100%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F ou plus
<1%
52-53°F 100.0%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
58°F ou plus <1%
$154,835 Vol.
$154,835 Vol.
52-53°F
100%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 52-53°F at 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, anchored by official observations from the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) automated surface observing system (ASOS), which recorded the daily maximum in this range via Weather Underground data feeds. This positioning stems from persistent marine stratus clouds and cool northerly flow over the Puget Sound, capping daytime heating below the early April climatological normal of about 57°F, consistent with NOAA historical analogs for overcast spring days. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control audits by the National Weather Service, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final NWS monthly climate report due mid-May.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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