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Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?

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60-61°F 37%

62-63°F 29%

58-59°F 25%

64-65°F 6.8%

Polymarket

$16,754 Vol.

60-61°F 37%

62-63°F 29%

58-59°F 25%

64-65°F 6.8%

Polymarket

$16,754 Vol.

49°F or below

$5,455 Vol.

<1%

50-51°F

$1,160 Vol.

1%

52-53°F

$649 Vol.

1%

54-55°F

$529 Vol.

1%

56-57°F

$1,219 Vol.

4%

58-59°F

$2,205 Vol.

25%

60-61°F

$1,225 Vol.

37%

62-63°F

$2,020 Vol.

29%

64-65°F

$912 Vol.

7%

66-67°F

$488 Vol.

1%

68°F or higher

$899 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance projects Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) highs around 58-62°F on April 4, anchoring trader sentiment with 60-61°F leading at 37% implied probability, followed closely by 62-63°F and 58-59°F. This reflects mild early-April conditions moderated by persistent Pacific marine layer, consistent with climatological averages of 57°F highs, though NOAA Climate Prediction Center's April 2026 outlook favors above-normal temperatures across the Pacific Northwest due to high-pressure ridging patterns. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from cloud cover variations and model divergences; traders await NWS Seattle updates and final 24-hour guidance, with resolution tied to official KSEA observations. Historical April 4 record is 75°F (1966), but extremes remain low-probability at <1%.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,754
Date de fin
4 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance projects Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) highs around 58-62°F on April 4, anchoring trader sentiment with 60-61°F leading at 37% implied probability, followed closely by 62-63°F and 58-59°F. This reflects mild early-April conditions moderated by persistent Pacific marine layer, consistent with climatological averages of 57°F highs, though NOAA Climate Prediction Center's April 2026 outlook favors above-normal temperatures across the Pacific Northwest due to high-pressure ridging patterns. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from cloud cover variations and model divergences; traders await NWS Seattle updates and final 24-hour guidance, with resolution tied to official KSEA observations. Historical April 4 record is 75°F (1966), but extremes remain low-probability at <1%.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,754
Date de fin
4 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 60-61°F » à 37%, suivi de « 62-63°F » à 29%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4? » a généré $16.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 29, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4? » est « 60-61°F » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 62-63°F » à 29%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.