Met Office forecasts position 16°C as the leading outcome at 58% implied probability for London's highest temperature today, reflecting consensus model runs showing overcast skies and light winds capping solar heating under a mild Atlantic air mass. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 15°C peak amid potential drizzle, explaining the 27% on that outcome, while historical April 3 averages near 13°C provide baseline context amid spring variability. Recent observations from Heathrow and Northolt confirm steady mild conditions following March's warmer spells up to 19°C, but persistent cloud cover limits upside to 17°C or higher (10%). Traders await hourly updates from official stations like Heathrow as the resolution window closes this evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on April 3?
Highest temperature in London on April 3?
16°C 55.5%
15°C 27.3%
17°C or higher 14.1%
14°C 4.3%
$122,928 Vol.
$122,928 Vol.
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
27%
16°C
56%
17°C or higher
14%
16°C 55.5%
15°C 27.3%
17°C or higher 14.1%
14°C 4.3%
$122,928 Vol.
$122,928 Vol.
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
27%
16°C
56%
17°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts position 16°C as the leading outcome at 58% implied probability for London's highest temperature today, reflecting consensus model runs showing overcast skies and light winds capping solar heating under a mild Atlantic air mass. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 15°C peak amid potential drizzle, explaining the 27% on that outcome, while historical April 3 averages near 13°C provide baseline context amid spring variability. Recent observations from Heathrow and Northolt confirm steady mild conditions following March's warmer spells up to 19°C, but persistent cloud cover limits upside to 17°C or higher (10%). Traders await hourly updates from official stations like Heathrow as the resolution window closes this evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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