Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability for a 24°C high temperature in Beijing on April 3 at Capital International Airport, with 23°C close behind at 32%, reflecting updated forecast models like those from Time and Date (75°F or ~24°C) amid mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds following yesterday's 19°C peak. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance projects 22°C under partly cloudy skies, highlighting model divergence typical in early spring when Beijing's diurnal highs average 18–20°C but vary with cloud cover and frontal passages. Recent observational data from April 2 supports warming trends, though intraday airport measurements will drive final resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
24°C 46.6%
23°C 32%
22°C 11%
25°C 6.5%
$80,910 Vol.
$80,910 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
32%
24°C
47%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
4%
24°C 46.6%
23°C 32%
22°C 11%
25°C 6.5%
$80,910 Vol.
$80,910 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
32%
24°C
47%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability for a 24°C high temperature in Beijing on April 3 at Capital International Airport, with 23°C close behind at 32%, reflecting updated forecast models like those from Time and Date (75°F or ~24°C) amid mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds following yesterday's 19°C peak. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance projects 22°C under partly cloudy skies, highlighting model divergence typical in early spring when Beijing's diurnal highs average 18–20°C but vary with cloud cover and frontal passages. Recent observational data from April 2 supports warming trends, though intraday airport measurements will drive final resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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