Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 27–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of a 28°C daytime high amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering typical early-April warming trends, where historical averages hover near 26–27°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means near 28°C, with slight divergences due to morning rain/drizzle risks—potentially capping peaks at 27°C—and variable sea breeze moderation versus urban heat effects that could push toward 29°C. Uncertainty stems from cloud cover timing and peak-hour measurements at official stations; expect refined odds from CMA's evening update on April 5 as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
29°C 31%
28°C 28%
27°C 26%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
26%
28°C
28%
29°C
31%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
4%
29°C 31%
28°C 28%
27°C 26%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
21°C or below
$478 Vol.
1%
22°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$375 Vol.
1%
24°C
$118 Vol.
2%
25°C
$348 Vol.
4%
26°C
$226 Vol.
7%
27°C
$176 Vol.
26%
28°C
$317 Vol.
28%
29°C
$136 Vol.
31%
30°C
$394 Vol.
12%
31°C or higher
$222 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 27–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of a 28°C daytime high amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering typical early-April warming trends, where historical averages hover near 26–27°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means near 28°C, with slight divergences due to morning rain/drizzle risks—potentially capping peaks at 27°C—and variable sea breeze moderation versus urban heat effects that could push toward 29°C. Uncertainty stems from cloud cover timing and peak-hour measurements at official stations; expect refined odds from CMA's evening update on April 5 as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ET
Volume
$3,066Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 27–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of a 28°C daytime high amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering typical early-April warming trends, where historical averages hover near 26–27°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means near 28°C, with slight divergences due to morning rain/drizzle risks—potentially capping peaks at 27°C—and variable sea breeze moderation versus urban heat effects that could push toward 29°C. Uncertainty stems from cloud cover timing and peak-hour measurements at official stations; expect refined odds from CMA's evening update on April 5 as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,066Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 27–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of a 28°C daytime high amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering typical early-April warming trends, where historical averages hover near 26–27°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means near 28°C, with slight divergences due to morning rain/drizzle risks—potentially capping peaks at 27°C—and variable sea breeze moderation versus urban heat effects that could push toward 29°C. Uncertainty stems from cloud cover timing and peak-hour measurements at official stations; expect refined odds from CMA's evening update on April 5 as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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