Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, with models split evenly between 22°C or below and exactly 23°C amid persistent overcast skies and recent passing showers. Updated extended outlooks as of April 2 from sources like Time and Date project daytime highs near 29°C under cloudy conditions, but ensemble discrepancies arise from variable cloud cover suppressing solar insolation, southeasterly winds moderating warmth, and lingering effects of thunderstorms earlier in the week. Historical early-April averages hover around 25–27°C, yet current subtropical moisture patterns favor cooler outcomes; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance on potential clearing or sustained gloom tipping the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 7 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 7 avril ?
27°C 20%
28°C 20%
29°C 19%
25°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 avr. 2026
22°C ou moins
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
18%
26°C
18%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C
19%
30 °C
17%
31°C
13%
32°C ou plus
10%
27°C 20%
28°C 20%
29°C 19%
25°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 avr. 2026
22°C ou moins
$180 Vol.
2%
23°C
$289 Vol.
1%
24°C
$278 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1 Vol.
18%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$11 Vol.
19%
30 °C
$10 Vol.
17%
31°C
$1 Vol.
13%
32°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, with models split evenly between 22°C or below and exactly 23°C amid persistent overcast skies and recent passing showers. Updated extended outlooks as of April 2 from sources like Time and Date project daytime highs near 29°C under cloudy conditions, but ensemble discrepancies arise from variable cloud cover suppressing solar insolation, southeasterly winds moderating warmth, and lingering effects of thunderstorms earlier in the week. Historical early-April averages hover around 25–27°C, yet current subtropical moisture patterns favor cooler outcomes; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance on potential clearing or sustained gloom tipping the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$775Date de fin
7 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, with models split evenly between 22°C or below and exactly 23°C amid persistent overcast skies and recent passing showers. Updated extended outlooks as of April 2 from sources like Time and Date project daytime highs near 29°C under cloudy conditions, but ensemble discrepancies arise from variable cloud cover suppressing solar insolation, southeasterly winds moderating warmth, and lingering effects of thunderstorms earlier in the week. Historical early-April averages hover around 25–27°C, yet current subtropical moisture patterns favor cooler outcomes; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance on potential clearing or sustained gloom tipping the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$775Date de fin
7 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, with models split evenly between 22°C or below and exactly 23°C amid persistent overcast skies and recent passing showers. Updated extended outlooks as of April 2 from sources like Time and Date project daytime highs near 29°C under cloudy conditions, but ensemble discrepancies arise from variable cloud cover suppressing solar insolation, southeasterly winds moderating warmth, and lingering effects of thunderstorms earlier in the week. Historical early-April averages hover around 25–27°C, yet current subtropical moisture patterns favor cooler outcomes; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance on potential clearing or sustained gloom tipping the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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